Free Betting Advice

Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 19, 2019
Maple Leafs vs Bruins
Maple Leafs
+131 at betonline
Won
$131
Play Type: Premium

This has been a back-and-forth series with each team rebounding with a victory following a loss. I see this pattern continuing here. The Maple Leafs lost, 6-4, at home to the Bruins on Wednesday. The Leafs were done in by not stopping Boston's power play and making stupid mistakes, which they should avoid now.

 The Maple Leafs are the faster and more aggressive team. They have the confidence, too, of having won a game in Boston during the series.  So at this plus price, I'm going to get involved with Toronto. 
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 19, 2019
Giants vs Pirates
Giants
-101 at BMaker
Lost
$101.0
Play Type: Top Premium
The Giants have had good success at Pittsburgh winning seven of the last nine times there. The Giants also catch the Pirates playing at home for the first time in 12 days. So Pittsburgh's concentration and focus may be off. It's not just history and spot why I like the Giants. The price is very good in a starting pitching matchup of Madison Bumgarner versus Jordan Lyles.  Bumgarner looked like the elite pitcher he is during his last start, a 5-2 home victory against the Rockies this past Saturday. Bumgarner struck out seven and didn't walk a batter. He has a 2.84 career ERA in seven starts against Pittsburgh.  Lyles has made two good starts for the Pirates. But that's not enough to convince me he suddenly has become more than just a fifth starter-type/long reliever. The Pirates are his fourth different team in three seasons. Lyles had a 4.11 ERA with the Padres and Brewers last year. He has a 5.85 career ERA in 19 appearances versus the Giants, including seven starts.  
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 19, 2019
Celtics vs Pacers
Pacers
-3 -105 at pinnacle
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium
The good news for Indiana is its No. 1 ranked defense has held Boston to an average of 91.5 points during the first two games of this series.  The bad news is the Pacers are down 0-2 in the series because their shooting has been way off.  The Pacers, though, are far from outclassed. They led the Celtics by seven points at halftime in Game 1. They were leading Boston with less than a minute left in Game 2 before somehow failing to cover a 7 1/2-point underdog spread in a 99-91 loss.  Sure Indiana misses its top scorer, Victor Oladipo. But the Pacers are due to shoot much better than 38.8 pecent from the floor. Boston ranks eighth defensively. However, the Pacers have failed to connect on shots in which they had a good look at the basket. Myles Turner, Darren Collison and Thaddeus Young should step up. The Pacers have a strong history of dramatically playing much better at home. The Celtics won just one of their eight road playoff games last season.  
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 19, 2019
Raptors vs Magic
Raptors
-4½ -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium
Nice job by the Magic in reaching the playoffs this season and upsetting the Raptors in Game 1. The clock struck midnight, though, for the Magic in Game 2 when they were buried, 111-82, by Toronto this past Tuesday. The Raptors are vastly superior. They could be among the four best teams in the NBA. The Magic can't hang against this type of focused opponent especially when their best player, Nikola Vucevic, can't produce. Vucevic has been held to an average of 8.5 points a game making just six-of-21 shots from the field. 
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 20, 2019
Bucks vs Pistons
OVER 216 -109
Play Type: Premium
The Pistons haven't been able to slow down Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is averaging 25 points during the first two games of this series. Milwaukee has scored 121 and 120 points, respectively, in the series. The Bucks are the No. 1 scoring team in the NBA. Detroit doesn't have the defense to stop them. The Over has cashed in eight of the Bucks' last 11 road contests.  So the Pistons need to ratch up their offense, which they can do at home. Detroit is due to shoot much better than the 37.7 percent it is averaging from the field. It's a plus for the Pistons and the Over if Blake Griffin is able to play. He's questionable. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 20, 2019
Jets vs Blues
UNDER 5½ -125
Play Type: Premium
The Blues win with defense. They know if they are going to clinch this first-round series they can't get into a wide open skating match with the Jets.  The Jets defeated the Blues, 6-3, in Game 3 at St. Louis. That game, though, appears to be an outlier. If you discount that performance, the Jets are averaging 1.2 goals in regulation during the four other games in the series.  Winnipeg has scored just once in its last nine power play attempts spanning the past three games. The Jets also could be without their fourth-leading goal scorer, Nikolaj Ehlers. He's questionable.  The Blues are averaging only 2.3 goals in their last three games. St. Louis' calling card is its fifth-ranked defense and goalie Jordan Binnington. 
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2019
Blue Jays vs A's
A's
-135 at betonline
Lost
$135.0
Play Type: Premium
I want the A's going for me in a bounce back spot. The Blue Jays knocked off Oakland, 5-1, Friday night. It was Toronto's first victory against the A's after losing all seven games to them last season. It also was a pitching matchup of Marcus Stroman versus Aaron Brooks, who shouldn't be in a big league rotation.  Now the pitching matchup is righty Matt Shoemaker versus righthander Mike Fiers.  Fiers is an ace when pitching in spacious Oakland Coliseum. He is 6-0 with a 2.38 ERA in his last 10 home starts. He hasn't been scored on in his last two home starts this season spanning 12 innings. Oakland is 8-1 (89 percent) in Fiers' last nine home starts.  Toronto is 3-8 in its last 11 games against a righty starter. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 20, 2019
Nuggets vs Spurs
Spurs
-3½ -109 at pinnacle
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Top Premium
The Nuggets haven't won in San Antonio in more than seven years, losing 14 straight times to the Spurs on the road. I don't see that changing here in Game 4 of their playoff series.  The Spurs should be up 3-0 instead of 2-1, but blew a 19-point lead midway through the third quarter in Game 2. They are the clear better team and they have a strong home-court history.  Second-year guard Derrick White has stepped up big-time for San Antonio giving the Spurs three major weapons along with DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge. The Spurs have those players going for them along with a huge gap in playoff experience. While the Nuggets are involved in their first postseason experience since 2013, the Spurs are in the playoffs for the 22nd straight season.  
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2019
Diamondbacks vs Cubs
Cubs
-130 at 5Dimes
Lost
$130.0
Play Type: Premium
Here comes the Cubs. Chicago has won four in a row and six of its last seven. They are worth riding playing their best ball now.  The buy sign is on for Yu Darvish, too, after he fanned eight in 5 2/3 innings during his last start, a 7-2 victory against the Marlins. Arizona is averaging just 2.6 runs in its last three games.  Zach Greinke isn't the elite pitcher of past seasons. Greinke is still above average - but not when he pitches at Wrigley Field. Greinke has never won at Wrigley in five career starts and has an 8.31 ERA when pitching there. The Cubs have won 30 of the past 44 times at home when facing a righty starter. 
SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.