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Bryan Power Bryan Power
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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 18, 2019
Mets vs Braves
-120 at sportsbook
Play Type: Top Premium

8* NY Mets (7:20 ET): The Braves are hot right now, but tonight they'll be running into reigning Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom, who has a 1.86 ERA in 18 career starts against them. For a second straight year, deGrom is experiencing the hardest of luck as his team start record (TSR) in 2019 is 4-10 despite good numbers. Over his last five starts, he has a 2.38 ERA, yet is winless over that stretch. He has not allowed more than 2 ER in any of the five starts and has allowed 2 ER or less in 7 of his last 8 trips to the mound, not to mention all but four times this season. 

Fresh off beating the Mets 12-3 yday, Atlanta sends out Julio Teheran, who has been "lights out" in his own right of late. His L3 starts, all Braves victories, have seen Teheran post a 0.53 ERA and 0.941 WHIP. During that time, he's allowed just two runs in 17 IP and one of them was unearned. But he also had more walks (3) than strikeouts (2) last time out and I simply do not see Teheran being as dominant as deGrom is. I say this knowing full well it's been eight straight starts for Teheran where he's given up 1 or 0 ER (3-0, 0.81 ERA in that stretch). He also has 2.35 ERA in 25 previous starts vs. the Mets. 

While this may seem like it sets up as a good old fashioned pitcher's duel, the fact is deGrom is favored and deserves to be. Yes, the Braves have been red hot (MLB-best 13-3 in June) and lead the National League East. But I'm not sure I'm ready to buy them long-term. The offense is certainly set to slow down here facing deGrom and I think Teheran is set to slow down as well. 8* NY Mets

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 18, 2019
Angels vs Blue Jays
Blue Jays
+1½ -140 at betonline
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Toronto RUN LINE (7:07 ET): Please note that this is a run line play only where I am taking the Blue Jays at +1.5. I was set to make this very same wager last night. But Toronto made a last minute pitching change, thereby rendering the play "no action." It's a good thing too, as they lost 10-5 to the Angels. But I'll come back w/ TOR +1.5 today as we're assured of having a much more capable starter on the mound (Marcus Stroman). Though the Angels are 4-0 vs. the Blue Jays so far in 2019, I'm not convinced they are a demonstrably better ballclub in any real, tangible way. 

Stroman definitely looked good his last time out, which ended up being a rare Toronto win. He allowed just two runs - only one earned - across six innings as the Blue Jays beat Baltimore. It was also the fifth time in the last six starts that Stroman allowed 3 ER or fewer. Last night's pitching was a disaster for Toronto as Edwin Jackson came in during the second inning and allowed seven runs. That's not going to happen w/ Stroman on the mound. While the Jays definitely have been struggling this year, what makes yday's defeat so disappointing is the fact they were coming off a big 12-0 win over Houston on Sunday. 

With the win yday, the Angels moved within a game of .500. This isn't the first time they've had a chance to pull "even" on the season and every time previous seems to follow a predictable pattern. The last seven times LA has had a chance to move to .500, they have lost. Tyler Skaggs will start for them on Tuesday and quality starts from him have been few and far between, especially on the road where his ERA (6.11) and WHIP (1.471) are both poor. Last night's game couldn't have gotten off to a better start for the Angels, but I expect the Blue Jays to get revenge here. 8* Toronto RUN LINE (+1.5)

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 18, 2019
Tigers vs Pirates
-145 at sportsbook
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Pittsburgh (7:05 ET): What's this? A play on the Pirates? If you're a regular follower, then you know the Bucs are a team I've heavily targeted as a FADE in recent weeks due to them having a YTD run differential that was indicative of a team that should have a much worse record. Sure enough, the ship has been sinking fast here as they've lost 19 of their last 27 games, including 8 of their last 10. But after taking 2 of 3 from Miami over the weekend, the Bucs couldn't have asked for a better opponent to start the week than the Tigers, who have dropped 23 of 30, including four straight. 

Like the Pirates, the Tigers have a very poor run differential. In fact, at -132, Detroit has the second worst run differential in the sport (Baltimore). Both of these teams probably should have fewer wins then, but run diff says the Tigers have played to the level of a team that should only have 20 wins. They've scored the fewest runs in all of MLB and now head to a National League park, which means the DH will be substituted for the pitcher coming up to bat. The Tigers are just 3-10 in interleague play this season and 15-37 vs. the NL the L3 seasons. 

Over the weekend, Detroit got swept at home by Cleveland including a shutout loss on Sunday. They've scored more than four runs just one time in the L10 games. Daniel Norris will get the start for them in this series opener. Norris has lost both IL starts this season and the team is just 3-12 the L15 times he's taken the mound dating back to last season. Rookie Mitch Keller goes for Pittsburgh. While it's been a rough start for Keller (who was called into starting duty due to injuries in the rotation), this is the weakest lineup in MLB he'll be facing here. The Pirates are 7-2 vs. American League teams this season and 32-17 the L3 seasons. 10* Pittsburgh


The time has come for Bryan Power to EXPAND! Having achieved a tremendous amount of success, Power is expanding his reach in 2015 as he proudly announces the formation of Power Sports Picks (that's "PSP" for short). Power Sports Picks promises to deliver the same quality analysis (and same amount of winning) as before, only now with a FULL TEAM assembled, the SKY IS THE LIMIT!