Free Betting Advice

Matt Josephs Matt Josephs
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 19, 2019
Reds vs Padres
Reds
+128 at pinnacle
Won
$128
Play Type: Premium

Matt Strahm has been pretty bad as a starter for the Padres. He's failed to get past the fifth inning and is not pitching that efficiently. Strahm has a 1.657 WHIP in those three starts. The Reds are woefully underperforming this year, but there's some talent in this lineup. I'm expecting them to bust out at some point soon. Anthony DeSclafani has allowed 11 runs and 15 hits in three starts. The righty has had a bit of a issue with allowing homers. San Diego's lineup has a couple names in it, but they've struggled this year. Entering Thursday night, San Diego was hitting .220 in their last seven contests. Now, the Cincy bullpen has struggled this year so that's a worry, but I think they can build a solid lead. Give me the road team here. 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 19, 2019
Mets vs Cardinals
Cardinals
-143 at pinnacle
Lost
$143.0
Play Type: Premium

I'm not quite sure why Jason Vargas is still in the Mets rotation, but here we are. The southpaw has allowed six runs and 10 hits in just over five innings of work. Vargas has just two strikeouts to four walks and is on the thinnest of thin ice. He last saw the Cardinals in 2017 giving up six runs and eight hits in that start. St. Louis is hitting .303 in their last seven games while averaging nearly seven runs per contest. The Mets bullpen has an ugly ERA but has gotten some stuff done. I'm not a huge Adam Wainwright guy, but he's pitched well his last two starts. The righty has allowed seven runs and 12 hits in 16 innings. He's got 16 strikeouts to just six walks as well. Wainwright beat the Mets twice in 2017. They have lost four of their last five and are on the last leg of a three city trip. I think Vargas is as instafade as it gets. 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 19, 2019
Giants vs Pirates
UNDER 7½ -114 Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Madison Bumgarner has allowed just 14 runs and 20 hits over 26 innings for the Giants so far. The southpaw has 23 strikeouts to just four walks. Bum has seen Pittsburgh just twice since 2016 holding them to one run in each start. The Pirates lineup is averaging 3.7 runs per contest and are hitting .220 in their last seven games. San Fran's bullpen has some pretty good arms so they should be able to hold a late lead. Jordan Lyles has pitched well in two starts holding the Cubs and Reds to one run and six hits in 11 innings. Now, I'm not expecting him to continue to pitch like that, but the Giants lineup is pretty bad. San Fran has scored three runs or less in five of their last eight games. Pittsburgh has gone under in five of their last seven. I think this one is a lower scoring game. 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2019
Phillies vs Rockies
Rockies
+1½ -140 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

The Phillies are banged up right now with Scott Kingery and Andrew McCutchen getting hurt on Friday night. Jean Segura and Odubel Herrera are already hurt for the lineup with David Robertson out as well. Antonio Senzatela beat the Padres in his first start holding them to one run and six hits in just over six innings. Philly's lineup has struggled a bit as of late and still has some talent but the injuries aren't helping things. Aaron Nola has been pretty bad this year giving up 17 runs and 21 hits in just over 19 innings. He's walked 11 as well to go along with just 19 strikeouts. Colorado's lineup is still trying to break out, but there's way too much talent for them potentially not to put up some runs. Both bullpens aren't great so that's a worry, but in that situation you lean to the home team. I think the Rockies are worth a look here. 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2019
Giants vs Pirates
UNDER 7½ -113
Play Type: Premium

We took the Giants under on Friday night and will try once again for it here. Jameson Taillon is 0-2, but has allowed just eight runs and 20 hits in 21 innings. The righty has 17 strikeouts to just five walks and has pitched well despite being winless. Taillon shut down the Giants for three innings at home last year. San Fran's offense doesn't scare me much. They are hitting .188 in day games and .187 against right-handed starters. Derek Holland isn't great, but he's pitched decently this year. If he can keep the walks down, then Holland should be able to do some work. He's allowed 10 runs and 16 hits in 22 innings of work. Pittsburgh's lineup is decent, but not great. Starling Marte won't be in the lineup after getting hurt on Friday. I think they can score a few runs because Taillon will hold down SF. Both bullpens have some solid arms so I think they can hold a lead. Give me the under in this one. 

SERVICE BIO

My name is Matt. I've been handicapping sports for many years and I'm not going to dazzle you with numbers and percentages. Just know that when you buy my picks, you get someone who looks at all the angles and does the work to get you winners. When it comes to the college sports, I specialize on the mid-major/non power five games.