Free Betting Advice

Matt Josephs Matt Josephs
194-162-9 in college basketball after an 3-3 Wednesday. Thursday's card will be up in the morning.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2019
Rutgers vs Michigan State
Rutgers
+16½ -110 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

I can't believe I'm going to take Rutgers, but here we are. The Scarlet Knights have lost four of their last five, but they've covered three of those contests. This team won at Northwestern and Penn State already this season and lost by two to Iowa, by five at Illinois and by 12 to Michigan. With Eugene Omoruyi in the lineup, they are a little bit better and take a little bit of pressure off Geo Baker. Michigan State has won three straight since losing three in a row earlier a month ago. The Spartans are without Nick Ward and Joshua Langford for this one. They've been a great cover for the most part although maybe they have one eye on the first of two meetings with Michigan coming up next in Ann Arbor. Last year, Sparty won this game at home by four as a 22 point favorite. They already do have a win over the Scarlet Knights back in November 78-67 on the road. It was a pretty close contest and I kinda expect that once again here. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2019
Louisville vs Syracuse
Louisville
+2 -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

It's been quite the month of February for Louisville so far as they've lost three of their last five. The Cardinals blew a huge lead against Duke and then nearly did it once again against Clemson. This team has road wins at Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech and North Carolina. Watch out for Enoch and McMahon as zone breakers while the rest of the team works it around the outside. Syracuse is a really hard team to figure out. Their offense has so much talent, but they really can't shoot well. With Brissett, Battle and Hughes, they should be doing so much better, but they've also scored less then 70 in five of their last six. This team lost at home to FSU, Georgia Tech, Old Dominion and Buffalo this season. The Cuse won in Louisville last year in their only meeting, but this Cardinals team has the right personnel to make Syracuse pay. I think the road team wins this one. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2019
Butler vs Marquette
OVER 145 -109 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Butler has lost four of their last seven entering this one. One of those was a 76-58 home loss to this Marquette team in a game that saw the road team shoot 56.9% from the field while the Bulldogs managed just a 32.8%. Butler's offense has scored 70 or more in every game since then. Their defense has also been mighty leaky allowing 70 or more in six of their last eight. Butler does a terrible job of guarding shooters which is not how you attack Marquette. The Golden Eagles are a very good shooting team especially at home. They've scored 66, 69, 79, 79, 70 and 70 at home in conference play. The team's defense is good, but not great. I think we could see a better effort from Kamar Baldwin and Butler in this one. Marquette should be able to get whatever they want offensively. I could see them winning this one rather easily. They have 11 double digit home wins this season.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2019
Wichita State vs Tulsa
Tulsa
-2 -105 at pinnacle
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

I like to back Tulsa at home this season where they are a lot better team. The Golden Hurricane are 12-2 there covering just seven of those games. They are shooting over 50% in their last five games and are holding opponents to just 36.7% from the court. Their defense has some interesting wrinkles to it and they really have some solid depth. Wichita State is 3-9 on the road where they are averaging under 65 points per game. These two played just a few weeks ago with Wichita winning 79-68 at home. Last year when the Shockers were a lot better, they only won by three points in Oklahoma. The Golden Hurricane have home wins in conference already over Temple, Memphis, UConn and USF. Wichita lost by 10 at Cincinnati and has also lost at UConn, USF, Houston and Memphis in conference. I think Tulsa wins a tight game between the two. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2019
Colorado State vs San Jose State
OVER 143½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

San Jose State has been an underdog 20 times this season and has gone over in 14 of those. The Spartans have allowed nearly 80 points per game at home and 87.6 points per contest over their last five. This offense is atrocious so we're really going to need Colorado State to do a lot of the legwork. CSU's offense is no great shakes, but their defense is brutal too. They allowed 74 at lowly Wyoming, 100 at Nevada, 87 at Utah State and 78 at Fresno and UNLV. SJSU has scored 70 points or more just nine times this season. I think this one will be played with a nice pace and both teams should be able to score against the other's leaky defense. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2019
Denver vs South Dakota
OVER 142 -118 Lost
$118.0
Play Type: Premium

Denver has been absolutely brutal on defense as of late. The Pioneers have allowed 90 or more in three of their last five contests with the other two teams scoring 81 and 78 against them. This is a slower paced team, but they managed to put up 81 last time out on Fort Wayne and 82 on South Dakota State. Denver has three double digit scorers who will stress a defense. South Dakota has lost four of their last five and their defense has also had some issues this season as they allowed over 100 points to Nebraska Omaha and Fort Wayne. These two played back on January 2nd with South Dakota winning 71-70. In that one both teams shot pretty well with Denver going 50% from the court. South Dakota has gone over in four straight and eight of their last 12. I think we should see plenty of points in this one. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2019
North Alabama vs Kennesaw State
OVER 134 -120 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Two of the lesser teams in the A-Sun play on Wednesday night as Kennesaw State hosts North Alabama. The Owls have won two of their last six at home over North Florida and NJIT. This team doesn't have a ton of talent although the Hooker kid is a very good scorer. At home KSU has allowed 83, 62, 64, 72, 62 and 90. They just don't play a ton of defense, but do have some flashes of offense. They did lose 76-71 at North Alabama back on January 24th. North Alabama has lost five straight after a five win in six game stretch. The Lions have allowed 80, 82, 71, 102 and 76 during this current losing streak. Their lowest point total allowed on the road this season in conference was 71 to Florida Gulf Coast. Once again, offense is a concern here as well, but I think they can do their part in what will presumably be a closer game. Give me the over in this one. 

SERVICE BIO

My name is Matt. I've been handicapping sports for many years and I'm not going to dazzle you with numbers and percentages. Just know that when you buy my picks, you get someone who looks at all the angles and does the work to get you winners. When it comes to the college sports, I specialize on the mid-major/non power five games.